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HONEYWELL’S BUSINESS JET AVIATION FORECAST PROJECTS 8,300 DELIVERIES VALUED AT $249 BILLION THROUGH(2)

时间:2017-10-13 11:49来源:中国直升机网 作者:中国公务机
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·The combined BRIC countries’ near-term demand profile has shifted somewhat later in the forecast period this year, with only 24 percent of intended new jet purchases scheduled for the next two years.

Asia Pacific – Impacted by regional tensions, purchase plans are down significantly from last year and back to 2014 and 2015 levels.

·Operators in Asia Pacific report new jet acquisition plans for 13 percent of their fleet over the next five years, down significantly from last year and reflecting concerns about increased regional tensions.

·based on the expressed level of purchase plans, Asia Pacific would represent close to a 6 percent share of global new jet demand over the next five years.

·only 27 percent of Asian respondents plan to schedule their new purchases within the first two years of the five-year horizon.

Middle East and Africa – Slightly lower purchase plans were reported, impacted by political tensions and ongoing conflict in the region in tandem with a stalled recovery in oil prices.

·The share of projected five-year global demand attributed to the Middle East and Africa is 4 percent this year, in line with the historical range of 4-7 percent.

·In the Middle East and Africa, 18 percent of respondents said they will replace or add to their fleet with a new jet purchase, down from 21 percent last year but in line with the overall world average. 

·In line with the global average, about 36 percent of operators responding to the survey plan to schedule their new purchase within the first two years of the five-year horizon.

Latin America – only region with higher purchase plans in 2017 compared with last year. Slightly lower Brazilian purchase plans compared with 2016 results are offset by significantly higher purchase plans in Mexico.

·29 percent of the Latin America sample fleet is expected to be replaced or added to with new jet purchases over the next five years — 2-3 points higher than last year’s survey. Increased plans from Mexican operators and resilience in the Brazilian operator base helped drive higher results this year, despite flat oil prices so far in 2017.

·about 34 percent of this region’s projected purchases are planned for between 2017 and 2019, lower than the worldwide average of 36 percent.

·based on the current purchase plan levels, Latin America would represent 15 percent of total projected demand over the next five years.

North America – New aircraft acquisition plans in North America are lower in this year’s survey than last year’s. 

·An estimated 61 percent of projected global demand comes from North American operators over the next five years. 

·New jet purchase plan levels decreased 9 points in North America, the industry’s largest market with 65 percent of the installed base. Purchase plans in this region contributed significantly to driving the world average purchase plan rate down to 19 percent. New jet purchases are roughly in line with 2014 and 2015 survey results. 
 
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